It’s complicated but not that bad

I am sure you know by now, that we are dealing with two diseases. One is the flu-like virus that comes and goes, not pleasant but people recover.

Apparently there are two strains now, one which is very contagious, but not deadly, and the other the original version, less contagious, but more deadly.

The other disease, that necessitates hospitalization, is an immune system disorder potentially deadly, in people with pre-existing conditions, and in elderly, whose immune systems are compromised.

That’s how we should look at it.

The first attack, by a virus that multiplies like crazy, is treatable with chicken soup, and rest, and occasional pain remedy. Take Pepcid for all gastric related issues and Vitamin D. Yes, we live in the sun but we don’t get enough.

Then the virus disappears. Leaves us exhausted, but alive.

But sometimes out of the blue, with our immune system is all revved up, and crazy to fight, it overreacts, and starts attacking lungs, hearts, veins, forming clumps in the blood, like a poltergeist, terrorizing all systems. One day it’s a lung disease, the next it is related to the heart, the brain, the works.

This second disease is especially unkind to elderly, and to those with chronic diseases. That’s essentially the problem. We don’t know in advance who will develop the very severe pneumonia and respiratory failure and die, because of the exaggerated immune response.

Dr. E. Anaya writes, as a response to Sunday’s Covid19 chart from Aruba:

Those aren’t bad numbers, proportionally speaking for the population of Aruba. I would be interested in knowing the number of positive cases who get hospitalized.

Can that data be obtained on a running basis?

(Hello hospital, DVG – please report!)

That’s important because if the numbers of patients admitted to the hospital is relatively low compared to the number of people being diagnosed with the virus then you know you’ve got a population that’s not very susceptible to severe disease.

Of course elderly people or those with underlying medical conditions will always have a higher risk of becoming very ill from it and possibly dying.

I think the government is doing a decent job so far.

These are difficult times because the virus is new, so many countries and scientists and politicians are learning as we go. New information comes out every other week or so, and on many aspects — transmission among different age groups, treatment, vaccine efforts, mortality rates, long term consequences for those who survived sever illness, etc.

But the numbers currently in hospital isn’t bad considering the total of positives on the entire island in past months. Also, mortality seems very low in Aruba so far. Hope it stays that way and this will eventually pass.

Wash your hands, exercise social distancing, stay away from crowds, wear a mask shopping, etc.

Share on:

August 17, 2020
Rona Coster